It is home to Omaha, the state's largest city, as well as Douglas County and the western region of Sarpy County. New Zealand's prime minister won a second term in office. But if the race for 270 ends in a photo-finish, voters in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District could tip the balance of power. Due to the coronavirus pandemic, every eligible voter received an absentee ballot application in the mail.In-person voting locations remained open as planned.

Percentages are weighted to resemble likely voters; the number of respondents in each subgroup is unweighted.

To estimate the likely electorate, we combine what people say about how likely they are to vote with information about how often they have voted in the past. The Michigan Court of Appeals ruled that ballots must arrive by Election Day to be counted, overruling a 14-day extension of a lower court. Nebraska awards electoral votes per congressional district, and Trump lags Biden by an average of 6 percentage points in a competitive, Omaha-area House district that Barack Obama won a dozen years ago. But they — and others — could change their minds.

It’s just one poll, though. Many voters are called multiple times. We're asking voters about health care, and also asking whether they support Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the United States Supreme Court. the Nebraska 2nd. Democrats called the 2nd District “Obamaha,” after the Illinoisan swiped an electoral vote there in 2008. It includes all of Douglas County, which includes Omaha, as well as the suburban areas of the western part of Sarpy County. 38% favorable rating; 35% unfavorable; 26% don’t know, Don Bacon is the current representative and an Air Force veteran.

Greater Omaha to the north is predominately black, and southern Omaha, formerly white working class, has seen an influx of Hispanics.

Here, we’re weighting by age, party registration, gender, likelihood of voting, race, education and region, mainly using data from voting records files compiled by L2, a nonpartisan voter file vendor. Between those two blue regions are the Democrat-friendly suburbs of west Omaha.

Our poll suggests divisions too. Congressional candidate Kimberly Klacik reported a significant fundraising haul following a viral video campaign that was shared by President Trump on Twitter. Ann Ashford 2.

They are not numerous enough to change the lead in our poll by themselves. The candidates listed will update as each race is finalized; some listed candidates may not ultimately qualify for the general election. “None of them want to vote for somebody who’s mean, and Trump comes off as mean and a cruel leader,” Nebraska Democratic Party Chairwoman Jane Kleeb said of women and nonwhite voters. Morgann Freeman Republican primary candidates 1. POLITICO's primary coverage of 2020 races for President, Senate, House and Governors. Polls are considered partisan if they’re conducted on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, or PAC, super PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. No one intervened when R. Kelly was beaten in a Chicago prison in late August, the musician's attorneys said. Track the 2020 Nebraska 2nd District Election here. Be especially careful with groups with fewer than 100 respondents, shown here in stripes. RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - Nebraska 2nd District - Bacon vs. Eastman The third-party candidates listed represent our best approximation of who will appear on each district’s general election ballot.

Kara Eastman defeated Ann Ashford and Gladys Harrison in the Democratic primary for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District on May 12, 2020.Eastman received 61.8% of the vote, followed by Ashford with 31.6% and Harrison with 6.6%.

They don’t represent the full range of possible turnout scenarios, let alone the full range of possible election results.

Send us an email. But don’t overinterpret these tables. This relatively urban district is the most liberal-leaning part of a strongly Republican state and where Democrats see their best opportunity in Nebraska. NYT Upshot / Siena College Poll We polled voters in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District. “Biden is likely to win the district by a single digit margin,” said a Republican operative privy to private GOP polling taken before Trump was diagnosed with the coronavirus. Each dot shows one of the 22368 calls we made. Rep. Joe Kennedy III's campaign said it used $1.5 million worth of donations for the general election improperly during the last weeks of the Massachusetts Democratic primary, which he lost to Sen. Ed Markey.

The seat swung back toward the Democrats in 2016, although Trump narrowly hung on with 47% of the vote. Real-time 2020 Nebraska election results and live maps by county and district. There’s a big question on top of the standard margin of error in a poll: Who is going to vote? Her focus was on single-payer health care, an increase in the minimum wage and fewer abortion restrictions.

In this election season he has raised about twice as much as Ms. Eastman.

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